Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.396991 0.462103 0.534163 0.619776 0.718675 0.829294 0.962380
2025-03-09 0.286570 0.372784 0.478766 0.618401 0.797334 1.018739 1.313363
2025-03-16 0.219336 0.308973 0.427746 0.596180 0.828444 1.137003 1.577659
2025-03-23 0.194201 0.291739 0.429031 0.635575 0.937600 1.362205 2.003588
2025-03-30 0.160409 0.255085 0.395648 0.618402 0.961340 1.467930 2.271558
2025-04-06 0.133763 0.223932 0.364397 0.597657 0.973737 1.554428 2.516744
2025-04-13 0.113108 0.198524 0.337591 0.578644 0.984040 1.635767 2.759599
2025-04-20 0.100898 0.184950 0.327446 0.584318 1.033269 1.782011 3.120610
2025-04-27 0.094787 0.180841 0.332260 0.615228 1.127541 2.011126 3.643742
2025-05-04 0.087562 0.173556 0.330333 0.633518 1.201122 2.211697 4.138091
2025-05-11 0.079711 0.163900 0.322696 0.640033 1.253456 2.379264 4.590051
2025-05-18 0.071677 0.152694 0.310600 0.636283 1.285495 2.512162 4.990529
2025-05-25 0.064005 0.141343 0.297178 0.629035 1.311438 2.639236 5.399957
2025-06-01 0.057932 0.132504 0.287715 0.628695 1.351349 2.798068 5.890732
2025-06-08 0.050632 0.119911 0.268810 0.606153 1.342729 2.859277 6.191031
2025-06-15 0.049438 0.120796 0.278631 0.646190 1.470360 3.210179 7.126473
2025-06-22 0.043896 0.110805 0.263298 0.628738 1.471115 3.296071 7.508824
2025-06-29 0.038788 0.101089 0.247306 0.607656 1.461011 3.357061 7.842610
2025-07-06 0.034416 0.092535 0.232886 0.588334 1.452424 3.419947 8.186490
2025-07-13 0.032027 0.088662 0.229142 0.594100 1.503289 3.621355 8.867459
2025-07-20 0.031250 0.088901 0.235505 0.625512 1.619436 3.984500 9.963758
2025-07-27 0.029825 0.087190 0.236739 0.644100 1.706015 4.286702 10.945422
2025-08-03 0.027932 0.083909 0.233508 0.650721 1.763099 4.523671 11.792175